作者:世界和平联合会主席-陈晓红
美西时间: 2022-2-28
关键词：和平与安全 |战争与制裁
近期，乌克兰战争成为全球焦点。开战一小时后，乌克兰海军和空军全军覆没，首都被导弹轰炸。
疫情刚刚好转，血腥的俄乌战争再次爆发。这个世界怎么了？乍一看，最近的俄乌战争确实是俄罗斯发动的入侵乌克兰的战争。世界上许多人对俄罗斯总统普京的举动感到惊讶和愤慨。
当地时间21日晚，普京在俄罗斯克里姆林宫主持召开俄联邦安全会议，讨论顿巴斯问题。电视直播内容强调：乌克兰是俄罗斯历史不可分割的一部分；乌克兰大部分领土在历史上是俄罗斯领土；现代乌克兰也是俄罗斯创造的。
24日，普京宣布对乌克兰进行“特别军事行动”。事实上，俄罗斯不允许北约东扩，俄乌战争的爆发在所难免。事实上，俄国不允许北约东扩，俄乌战争的爆发有其必然性，这与一些纵容乌克兰攻击乌东民间武装的错误政策是分不开的。
乌克兰总统在电视上发表了求救演说，因他对援助缺乏回应而赢得了广泛的同情。每天新闻和评论都像雪花一样飘来飘去，哪一个才是真相？
我做过一部大型历史纪录片，深知战争的残酷。战争就像绞肉机，搅乱人心，化肉为浆，瞬间消失在一个有气息的美丽世界中。我认为战争没有真理，我追求和平,我想更理性地了解这场俄乌战争的根源是什么？
普京认为，乌克兰无权要求独立，而是俄罗斯不可分割的一部分。北约持续东扩是普京出兵乌克兰的重要因素，但更多是对北约持续东扩的一种压力反应。
美国《纽约时报》25日消息：经过数月的军事和坦克集结、多次严厉的暴力警告、模糊的和平保证以及在华盛顿、联合国大厅和欧洲首都的外交努力，俄罗斯已经入侵乌克兰于周四凌晨开始对包括首都基辅在内的几个主要城市发动炮击和火箭弹袭击。
在俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京公开宣布一项旨在“非军事化”乌克兰而不是占领该国的“特别军事行动”,几分钟后，爆炸在黎明前的阴暗中隆隆作响。他的宣布正值联合国安理会召开紧急会议之际，大使们惊呆了，他们不得不对瞬息万变的事态做出毫无准备的反应。
袭击发生前几个小时，乌克兰总统泽连斯基在电视上发表了令人震惊的请求，请求东盟国家提供援助，但几乎没有回应。“倾听理性的声音，”泽连斯基说“乌克兰人民想要和平。”这个时候应该是缓和矛盾的最好时机。各国应共同回应和平诉求，推动俄乌快速和谈。俄方也应理性放下武器，接受和平信号，而不是霸道地要求乌克兰“非军事化”。停止战争是寻求和平的第一步。
很遗憾，事态并非如此。俄乌开战以来，谩骂、制裁的声音在西方舆论场响起。大多数西方政客和媒体将普京描述为“暴君”，并将俄乌冲突定义为“侵略”战争。这些可以用作指控的“名称”，由联合国成员国安理会在战争结束后决定。制裁应该按照联合国安理会的结论和违反的条款执行，否则联合国在这个世界上的规则将毫无意义。
在这里，我们讨论并简要回顾历史。纵观“制裁”，从来都不是根本有效的解决问题的办法。
乌克兰,一个自然条件能源优越的国家,占有全球四分之一的黑土地,并继承了前苏联工业,却变成了全欧洲最穷的国家,原因何在?
中国在过去百年来里,是世界上所有曾经遭受奴役和掠夺的发展中国家,也是发展中国家中经受整个西方世界政治、经济、贸易、金融、军事制裁和封锁时间最长的国家。制裁让这个民族更加勤奋、更加坚强,以至于直到现在整个西方世界仍然存在对中国实行高技术和武器装备禁运，但中国仍然成功实现逆转，整体实力进入世界强国的发展中国家,成为抵御住霸权冲击,实现反超的发展中国家。
在过去20年里美国实施的制裁数量增长10倍,美国上一届总统任期内实施的制裁高达3800项,相当于平均每天三次.2011年以来美国对俄罗斯实施的制裁超过了100多次,但是制裁并没有解决世界因为制裁变得更好,变得更有保障。
制裁,要么扼制富裕的资源而变成穷困,要不让穷困潦倒的国家变成富裕。
俄乌双方的僵持而最终导致战争。现在我们需要探讨的是在双方僵持的过程中,这个世界上谁能作为劝导人?联合国安理会应该是和平与安全的最高机构,联合国是在战争中诞生的,目的是结束战争。那么,联合国是否还缺乏一个调解仲裁机构?这个机构就是将战争的萌芽阶段去战争化,杜绝战争。
联合国秘书长古特雷斯强调:冲突各方必须尊重国际人道主义法保障，联合国工作人员和其他人道主义工作者的安全与行动自由。他说特别是在这样的时刻,《联合国宪章》过去曾受到挑战,但他坚定的站在和平安全发展正义国际法和人权一边,他说:当国际社会一次又一次团结一致时,这些价值观都会占据上风,不管今天发生了什么,这些价值观都将取得胜利。
西方国家针对俄战争迅速采取的制裁宣言,我认为是不理性的,只能更激怒双方,从而导致“斗志”,更有可能导致冲动期的非理性行动而发生更激烈的战争。现代战争今非昔比,不是想当年的步枪加大炮,一颗原子弹足以毁灭人类几千几万年的历史文明,核武器会致人类灭绝!
我们也可以做一个简单的经济分析与回顾。
俄罗斯的出口创汇物资主要是粮食、能源和军火。单就军火而言，俄军这次的表现可圈可点，目前来看，西方的制裁效果并无多大用处。从长期来看，俄罗斯是个幅员辽阔且自给自足率非常高的国家，根本不惧怕制裁和封锁。西方国家的制裁只是象征意义，实际上作用不大,对俄罗斯进行的制裁并无多大用处。
美国前国务卿亨利·基辛格早在2014年3月15日在《华盛顿邮报》发文写道:“乌克兰经常让人逼迫选择，是加入东方还是西方？但是，如果乌克兰想要生存和繁荣，它就不能成为任何一方对抗另一方的前哨——它应该成为两者之间的桥梁。”
基辛格特别从历史和文化方面谈到了俄罗斯和乌克兰的关系。他写道：“西方必须明白，乌克兰对俄罗斯来说永远不可能只是一个外国。俄罗斯的历史始于基辅。俄罗斯宗教从那里传播开来。几个世纪以来，乌克兰一直是俄罗斯的一部分，在此之前，他们的历史交织在一起。从 1709 年的波尔塔瓦战役开始，俄罗斯为争取自由而进行的一系列最重要的战役都是在乌克兰土地上进行的。乌克兰是俄罗斯历史不可分割的一部分。事实上，俄罗斯的一部分。”
根据基辛格的说法，乌克兰独立后的政治局势清楚地表明，问题的根源在于乌克兰政客将他们的意志强加于该国不听话的地区，先是一个派系，然后是另一个派系。这就是亚努科维奇和他的主要政治对手季莫申科之间冲突的本质。他们代表乌克兰的两翼，一直不愿分享权力。”
世界各国现在唯一要做的就是平息局势，不扰乱局势，寻求和平通道，给人类一条共生存、共发展的道路。
世界和平联合会支持人道主义真理,并呼吁全世界所有爱好和平的人们共同宣言：请停止一切以战争解决矛盾的歪曲行为！请停止一切核武器威胁的霸权思想！让世界回归自然的环境！
非常时期，我们更渴望和平，以人为本，以和平为贵，请给和平一个机会，祝福世界！
THE WORLD NEEDS CALM AND GIVES PEACE A CHANCE
AUTHOR: Xiaohong Chen, President of the World Peace Federation
KEYWORDS: peace and security | war and sanctions
Recently, the Ukrainian war has become a global focus. Within an hour of the war, the Ukrainian navy and air force were annihilated, and the capital was bombed by missiles.
The epidemic has just improved a little, and the bloody Russian-Ukrainian war broke out again. What happened to this world? At first glance, the recent Russian-Ukrainian war is indeed a war launched by Russia and invaded Ukraine. Many people in the world were surprised and indignant at the actions of Russian President Vladimir Putin, and the voices of abuse, solidarity, and sanctions resounded in the public opinion field.
On the evening of the 21st local time, Putin hosted a Russian Federation Security Conference at the Russian Kremlin to discuss the Donbas issue. The live TV content emphasized: Ukraine is an inseparable part of Russian history; most of Ukraine’s territory was historically Russian territory; modern Ukraine was also created by Russia.
On the 24th, Putin announced a “special military operation” against Ukraine. In fact, Russia does not allow NATO to expand eastward, and the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war is inevitable. In fact. This is inseparable from the wrong policy of condoning Ukraine’s attack on the civilian armed forces in eastern Ukraine.
The Ukrainian president delivered a televised speech for help, which won widespread sympathy for his lack of response to the help. It is said that every day, news and comments float around like snowflakes, which one is the truth?
I have done a large-scale historical documentary, and I know the cruelty of war. War is like a meat grinder, stirring people’s hearts, turning flesh into pulp, and instantly disappearing into a beautiful world with breath. I think there is no truth in war, I pursue peace, I want to understand more rationally what is the root of this Russian-Ukrainian war?
Putin believes that Ukraine has no right to claim independence, but is an integral part of Russia. The continuous eastward expansion of NATO is an important factor for Putin to send troops to Ukraine, but it is more a pressure response to the continuous eastward expansion of NATO.
The New York Times reported on the 25th: After months of military and tank build-ups, multiple stern warnings of violence, vague peace assurances and diplomatic efforts in Washington, the halls of the United Nations and European capitals, Russia has invaded Ukraine in the early hours of Thursday. Shelling and rocket attacks began on several major cities, including the capital, Kyiv.
The explosions rumbled in the predawn gloom just minutes after Russian President Vladimir Putin publicly announced a “special military operation” aimed at “demilitarizing” Ukraine rather than occupying the country. His announcement came as an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council stunned ambassadors, who had to react unprepared to the rapidly changing state of affairs.
Hours before the attack, Ukrainian President VolodymyrZelensky made a shocking televised plea for assistance from ASEAN countries, but received little response. “Listen to the voice of reason,” Zelensky said. “The Ukrainian people want peace.” This should be the best time to defuse the conflict. All countries should jointly respond to the demands for peace and promote rapid peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. Russia should also lay down its arms rationally and accept the signal of peace, instead of overbearingly demanding Ukraine’s “demilitarization”. Stopping war is the first step in the search for peace.
Unfortunately, this is not the case. Since the start of the war between Russia and Ukraine, the voices of abuse and sanctions have resounded in the Western public opinion field. Most Western politicians and media describe Putin as a “tyrant” and define the Russian-Ukrainian conflict as a war of “aggression”. These can be used as “names” for the charges, which are decided by the UN Security Council after the war. Sanctions should be enforced according to the conclusions of the UN Security Council and the terms violated, otherwise the UN rules in this world will be meaningless.
Here, we discuss and briefly review the history. Throughout the “sanctions”, has never been a fundamental and effective solution to the problem.
Ukraine, a country with superior natural conditions and energy, occupies a quarter of the world’s black land, and inherited the industry of the former Soviet Union, but it has become the poorest country in Europe. What is the reason?
In the past 100 years, China has been all the developing countries in the world that have been enslaved and plundered, and it is also the country that has endured political, economic, trade, financial, military sanctions and blockades for the longest time in the entire Western world. Sanctions have made this nation more diligent and stronger, so that until now the entire Western world still has embargoes on high technology and weapons and equipment against China, but China has still successfully reversed, and the overall strength has entered the developing countries of the world’s powers, becoming a developing country that can resist and survive. Hegemonic impact, to achieve the overtaking of developing countries.
The number of sanctions imposed by the United States has increased tenfold in the past 20 years. The number of sanctions imposed by the United States during the last term of the United States was as high as 3,800, which is equivalent to an average of three times a day. Since 2011, the United States has imposed more than 100 sanctions on Russia, but Sanctions do not solve the world because sanctions are better, more secure.
Sanctions, either curb the rich resources and become poor, or let the poor country become rich.
The stalemate between Russia and Ukraine eventually led to war. What we need to discuss now is who in the world can act as a persuader in the stalemate between the two sides? The UN Security Council should be the highest institution for peace and security. The UN was born out of war, and its purpose is to end the war. So, does the United Nations still lack a mediation and arbitration institution? This institution is to Dewar fare the embryonic stage of the war and put an end to war.
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres stressed that all parties to the conflict must respect international humanitarian law, which guarantees the safety and freedom of movement of UN staff and other humanitarian workers. He said that especially at a time like this, when the UN Charter had been challenged in the past, but he was firmly on the side of peace, security, development, justice, international law, and human rights, saying: “When the international community is united time and time again, these values will take hold. On the otherhand, no matter what happens today, these values will prevail.
The declaration of sanctions adopted by Western countries in response to the Russian war, I think, is irrational, and can only irritate both sides, thereby leading to a “fighting spirit”, and more likely to lead to irrational actions in the impulsive period and more intense wars. Modern warfare is not what it used to be. It is not like the rifles and cannons of the past. The atomic bomb is enough to destroy the historical civilization of human beings for tens of thousands of years. Nuclear weapons will cause human extinction!
We can also do a simple economic analysis and review.
Russia’s exports to earn foreign exchange are mainly food, energy, and arms. As far as arms are concerned, the performance of the Russian army this time is remarkable. At present, the effect of Western sanctions is not much use. In the long run, Russia is a country with a vast territory and a very high self-sufficiency rate and is not afraid of sanctions and blockades at all. The sanctions imposed by Western countries are only symbolic and have little effect in practice. The sanctions imposed on Russia are of little use.
Russia does not allow NATO to expand eastward, and the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war is inevitable. This is inseparable from the wrong policy of condoning Ukraine’s attack on the civilian armed forces in eastern Ukraine.
Former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger wrote in the Washington Post on March 15, 2014: “Ukraine is often forced to choose, join the East or the West? But if Ukraine wants to survive and thrive, It cannot be an outpost for either side against the other – it should be a bridge between the two.”
作者简介:
陈晓红，2012 年6 月移民美国西雅图。致力传播中华文化艺术，传播世界多元文化艺术.热爱和平,致力于和平事业.
华盛顿中文电视台创始人/ 台长
《华盛顿艺术》杂志创刊人/ 总编
艺百网创办人/ 总编
华盛顿艺术馆筹办发起人
世界和平联会创始人/主席
业余油画爱好者/纤维艺术作品原创/偶尔兴诗
Chen Xiaohong, immigrated to Seattle, USA in June 2012. Committed to spreading Chinese culture and art, spreading the world’s multicultural arts.Love peace and dedicate to the cause of peace.
Founder/director of washingtonchinese television
Founder/editor-in-chief of the art of washington
Founder/editor-in-chief of yibai.com
Founder of washington museum of art
Founder/chairman of world peace federation
Amateur oil painting enthusiasts/original fiber art works/occasional poetry.
本台责任编辑：Nina Chen